Tim Hortons Misses on the Top and Bottom Lines

Tim Hortons (NYSE: THI  ) filed its 10-K on Feb. 21. Here are the numbers you need to know.

The 10-second takeaway
For the quarter ended Dec. 30 (Q4), Tim Hortons missed estimates on revenues and missed estimates on earnings per share.

Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue increased. Non-GAAP earnings per share increased. GAAP earnings per share grew.

Gross margins contracted, operating margins were steady, net margins dropped.

Revenue details
Tim Hortons logged revenue of $814.2 million. The 13 analysts polled by S&P Capital IQ expected revenue of $833.6 million on the same basis. GAAP reported sales were 6.3% higher than the prior-year quarter's $767.1 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
EPS came in at $0.69. The 18 earnings estimates compiled by S&P Capital IQ forecast $0.72 per share. Non-GAAP EPS of $0.69 for Q4 were 9.5% higher than the prior-year quarter's $0.63 per share. GAAP EPS of $0.65 for Q4 were 3.2% higher than the prior-year quarter's $0.63 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Margin details
For the quarter, gross margin was 24.1%, 50 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 19.2%, much about the same as the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 12.4%, 80 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead
Next quarter's average estimate for revenue is $730.6 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.61.

Next year's average estimate for revenue is $3.19 billion. The average EPS estimate is $2.87.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a four-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 382 members out of 413 rating the stock outperform, and 31 members rating it underperform. Among 105 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 100 give Tim Hortons a green thumbs-up, and five give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Tim Hortons is hold, with an average price target of $53.13.

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