Monday, December 31, 2012

Did Teradata Squander Its Latest Sales Increase?

Margins matter. The more Teradata (NYSE: TDC  ) keeps of each buck it earns in revenue, the more money it has to invest in growth, fund new strategic plans, or (gasp!) distribute to shareholders. Healthy margins often separate pretenders from the best stocks in the market. That's why we check up on margins at least once a quarter in this series. I'm looking for the absolute numbers, so I can compare them to current and potential competitors, and any trend that may tell me how strong Teradata's competitive position could be.

Here's the current margin snapshot for Teradata over the trailing 12 months: Gross margin is 54.7%, while operating margin is 19.6% and net margin is 14.9%.

Unfortunately, a look at the most recent numbers doesn't tell us much about where Teradata has been, or where it's going. A company with rising gross and operating margins often fuels its growth by increasing demand for its products. If it sells more units while keeping costs in check, its profitability increases. Conversely, a company with gross margins that inch downward over time is often losing out to competition, and possibly engaging in a race to the bottom on prices. If it can't make up for this problem by cutting costs -- and most companies can't -- then both the business and its shares face a decidedly bleak outlook.

Of course, over the short term, the kind of economic shocks we recently experienced can drastically affect a company's profitability. That's why I like to look at five fiscal years' worth of margins, along with the results for the trailing 12 months, the last fiscal year, and last fiscal quarter. You can't always reach a hard conclusion about your company's health, but you can better understand what to expect, and what to watch.

Here's the margin picture for Teradata over the past few years.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Dollar amounts in millions. FY = fiscal year. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Because of seasonality in some businesses, the numbers for the last period on the right -- the TTM figures -- aren't always comparable to the FY results preceding them. To compare quarterly margins to their prior-year levels, consult this chart.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Dollar amounts in millions. FQ = fiscal quarter.

Here's how the stats break down:

  • Over the past five years, gross margin peaked at 56.2% and averaged 54.7%. Operating margin peaked at 21.4% and averaged 19.7%. Net margin peaked at 15.5% and averaged 14.3%.
  • TTM gross margin is 54.7%, about the same as the five-year average. TTM operating margin is 19.6%, 10 basis points worse than the five-year average. TTM net margin is 14.9%, 60 basis points better than the five-year average.

With recent TTM operating margins below historical averages, Teradata has some work to do.

  • Add Teradata to My Watchlist.

5 Tips For Selecting A Forex Broker – San Francisco Chronicle

ETF Trends5 Tips For Selecting A Forex Broker
San Francisco Chronicle
Since there is no central marketplace for the forex market, traders must select a forex broker to help them conduct their trading activity. There are a large and growing number of forex brokers, and choosing the right one requires cautiously sifting …
CFTC: Texas Man Ordered To Pay .1M Penalty For Forex Ponzi SchemeWall Street Journal
Texas man must pay .35 million in Ponzi scheme caseFutures Magazine

all 43 news articles »

{forex} – Google News

Dealing With Your Credit Report Just Got a Lot Easier


It has never been more important to have good credit. Lenders are being pickier than ever about giving loans to borrowers, and even if you aren't in the market for a home or car loan, insurance companies and even prospective employers often use credit reports to set rates and make hiring decisions.

Unfortunately, understanding your credit report and the credit scores that various ratings agencies provide can be extraordinarily difficult. All too often, credit reports and scores are based on erroneous information, but it can be intimidating to try to go up against big credit-rating bureaus to get those errors fixed.

You're Not Alone

Now, though, you have a friend in your corner. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau recently announced that in September, it will start supervising the credit reporting companies that collect and provide information about your credit.

As CFPB Director Richard Cordray said earlier this month, "[T]he credit reporting market is not one where consumers can shop around among different providers, for people have no choice about whether to have any of the credit reporting companies keep track of their credit history. That is why the Consumer Bureau's new authority is so important."

One surprising thing about credit reporting companies is that there are a huge number of them. Although most people are familiar with the FICO score from Fair Isaac (FICO) as well as major credit reporting agencies Experian, Equifax (EFX), and TransUnion, the CFPB cites about 400 different agencies that collect credit information. Many of those are what the CFPB calls "specialty reporting companies" that aim at collecting information that's pertinent to specific industries, such as tenant background information for landlords.

The CFPB plans to oversee only about 30 of these agencies, but together, they bring in about 94% of the industry's total revenue. That should give you a lot of protection if you have trouble with any of the big reporting agencies.

Gallery: Little Error, Big Impact
For its part, the industry seems prepared for greater regulation. As Consumer Data Industry Association President Stuart Pratt told NBC News, "The consumer reporting industry looks forward to working with the CFPB in its regulatory oversight activities."

Nevertheless, Pratt challenges allegations that the consumer dispute process is flawed, pointing to a study that found that 95% of consumers had a satisfactory experience with their disputes.

Resources to Protect Your Credit

The CFPB's website also has some helpful information on what you need to do to protect your credit. There, you'll find easy step-by-step instructions on how to get a copy of your credit report free, as well as how to dispute and correct any errors you find on your report. Taking those steps is a smart move toward protecting your credit.

You can follow Motley Fool contributor Dan Caplinger on Twitter here. He does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned in this article.

Get info on stocks mentioned in this article:
  • EFX
  • FICO
  • Manage Your Portfolio

Are We Witnessing A Dividend Bubble?

Given the plethora of market uncertainties, over the past few months investors have started placing an increasing emphasis on dividend yield. In particular, multi-national companies operating in regions or sectors that would enable them to grow dividends over the next few years have gained favor. These so-called 'dividend aristocrats' have recorded strong relative performance compared with the benchmark indices, as illustrated by the relative price chart below of the S&P 500 High Yield Dividend Aristocrats Index versus the S&P 500 Index.

Click to enlarge:

Source: StockCharts.com

This trend raises the raising the question: Are we seeing a dividend bubble?

I concur with the answer provided from across the pond by David Fuller, co-author of FullerMoney, as follows:

The short answer is not yet, but all good trends eventually develop some bubbly characteristics, of a greater or lesser degree. A number of high-yielding, multinational ‘Autonomies’ have shown impressive relative strength this year. Two warning signs to watch out for are: 1) trend acceleration relative to their 200-day moving averages; and 2) price-earnings ratios that are clearly higher than most other sectors or the market generally.

Another test for these shares, for which I maintain current relative strength is understandable, will occur when a stronger overall market environment revives ‘animal spirits’ sufficiently for investors to chance their luck in small-caps and other laggards.

Also read the The Wall Street Journal’s recent article, “Dividend Stocks Become the Heroes – Shares Often Derided as for ‘Widows and Orphans’ Are Outdoing Their Lower-Yielding Cousins”.

Disclosure: None

Schlumberger Soars After Solid Q3 Revenues

While most stocks have been firmly entrenched in a downtrend for multiple months, times are a-changin�, as many stocks are attempting to follow in the footsteps of the S&P 500 Index by reversing trends.

One such stock shaping up nicely with a potential trend reversal is Schlumberger Ltd. (NYSE:SLB). After ripping higher through the first half of October, SLB has been forming a clean high base at the 50-day moving average.

A successful break of $71 could lead to higher prices in the short term for this oilfield services company. The lower end of the two-week consolidation area provides a logical area for a stop-loss around $67 if the breakout fails.

While stock enthusiasts may consider simply buying shares on a confirmed breakout, option traders should consider purchasing calls or call spreads. The more-aggressive route would be to buy the SLB Dec 70 Calls, which are trading around $6.30 right now.

Those looking for a more-conservative play should consider buying the SLB December 70-75 call spread by buying to open the SLB Dec 70 Call and, at the same time, selling to open the SLB Dec 75 Call, which is currently trading at $3.30. At these prices, you can enter the spread for about $3 ($6.30 debit from buying the $70 calls – $3.30 credit for selling the $75 calls).

Source: MachTrader

At the time of this writing Tyler Craig had no positions on SLB.

FOREX-Euro drops to 2-year low on Spain’s debt woes – Reuters

Trading PointFOREX-Euro drops to 2-year low on Spain's debt woes
Reuters
* Spanish banking problems overtake worries about Greece * Focus on rising Spanish debt yields, spreads vs Bunds * Aussie slips on weak retail sales data * Dollar index on cusp of closing above 100-month MA By Masayuki Kitano SINGAPORE, …
WORLD FOREX: Euro Averts Selloff Despite Towering WorriesWall Street Journal
Forex Market Review � Euro falls below .25Trading Point
Forex: EUR/USD plunges on Spain, banks and regions issues – BBHNASDAQ

all 3,247 news articles »

{forex} – Forex News

Top Stocks For 2011-12-22-7

Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (Nasdaq:ISRG), the industry leader in surgical robotics, reported third quarter of 2011 revenue of $447 million, up 30% compared with $344 million for the third quarter of 2010. Third quarter of 2011 revenue growth was driven by continued robotic procedure adoption and higher da Vinci Surgical System sales.

Third quarter of 2011 instruments and accessories revenue increased 38% to $176 million from $128 million in the third quarter of 2010. The growth in instruments and accessories revenue was primarily driven by growth in da Vinci surgical procedures of approximately 30%. Third quarter of 2011 systems revenue was $199 million, an increase of 25%, compared to $160 million during the third quarter of 2010. The growth in third quarter 2011 systems revenue was driven by sales of 133 da Vinci Surgical Systems compared to 105 system sales during the same period last year. Third quarter of 2011 services revenue increased 25% to $72 million from $57 million during the third quarter of 2010, reflecting growth in the installed base of da Vinci Surgical Systems.

Third quarter of 2011 operating income increased 35% to $179 million from $132 million during the third quarter of 2010. Operating results for the third quarter of 2011 included $35 million of non-cash stock-based compensation expense compared with $30 million for the third quarter of 2010.

Third quarter of 2011 net income increased 41% to $122 million, or $3.05 per diluted share, from $87 million, or $2.14 per diluted share for the third quarter of 2010.

Intuitive ended the third quarter of 2011 with $1,887 million in cash, cash equivalents and investments, reflecting an increase of $65 million during the quarter, net of $181 million used to repurchase 526,000 shares of common stock.

Commenting on the announcement, Dr. Gary Guthart, President and CEO of Intuitive Surgical, said, “We are pleased with the growth in da Vinci procedures and the performance of our team in the quarter.”

Intuitive Surgical, Inc., headquartered in Sunnyvale, California, is the global technology leader in robotic-assisted, minimally invasive surgery. Intuitive Surgical develops, manufactures, and markets robotic technologies designed to improve clinical outcomes and help patients return more quickly to active and productive lives. The Company’s mission is to extend the benefits of minimally invasive surgery to the broadest possible base of patients. Intuitive Surgical — Taking surgery beyond the limits of the human hand(TM).

More about ISRG at www.intuitivesurgical.com

Female Health Co. (Nasdaq:FHCO) announced that its Board of Directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.05 per share. The dividend is payable November 9, 2011 to stockholders of record as of November 2, 2011. This will be the eighth consecutive quarterly dividend paid since the Company announced the initiation of a cash dividend program in January, 2010.

The Female Health Company manufactures, markets, and sells the FC2 female condoms in the United States and internationally. Its product provides dual protection against unintended pregnancy and sexually transmitted diseases, including HIV/AIDS.

Horizon Pharma, Inc (Nasdaq:HZNP) announced that it has received a Notice of Allowance from the United States Patent and Trademark Office for Application Serial No. 12/324808 entitled “Stable Compositions of Famotidine and Ibuprofen” with claims that cover DUEXIS®.

Horizon Pharma, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines for the treatment of arthritis, pain, and inflammatory diseases.

Cleantech Transit, Inc. (CLNO)

Cleantech Transit Inc. was founded to capitalize on technology advances and manufacturing opportunities in the growing clean energy public transportation sector. The Company has expanded its focus to invest directly in specific green projects. Recognizing the many economic and operational advances of converting wood waste into renewable sources of energy, Cleantech has selected to invest in Phoenix Energy (www.phoenixenergy.net). This project could benefit the Company’s manufacturing clients worldwide.

Cleantech Transit, Inc. (CLNO) is pleased to announce it has met its funding requirement to secure the Company’s ability to earn in 25% of the 500KW Merced Project.

The Company is in the final stages of closing its initial interest in the Merced Project and is currently working on completing the necessary documentation and expects closing the transaction soon. As previously announced Cleantech has the option to earn up to 40% of the Merced Project and the Company plans to continue to work towards increasing its interest in the Merced Project as they move ahead.

Biomass is all plant and animal matter on the earth’s surface. Biomass is anything that is alive. Biomass gets its energy from the sun. Plants store the sun’s energy in their leaves and roots. Then animals eat plants and other animals to move and grow. The energy of the sun is ‘captured’ through the process of photosynthesis in growing plants. Biomass can be used to make electricity; many towns burn their garbage in waste-to-energy plants. Instead of putting the garbage in landfills, they burn it to make electricity.

For more information about Cleantech Transit, Inc. visit its website www.cleantechtransitinc.com

Raptor Pharmaceuticals Corp. (Nasdaq:RPTP) announced that Patrick Reichenberger, VP, Commercial Operations of Raptor will present an overview of the Company at the 2011 BioCentury NewsMakers in the Biotech Industry Conference. Raptor’s presentation will take place at the Millennium Broadway Hotel in New York City on Friday, October 21st at 11:30am ET.

Raptor Pharmaceuticals Corp. operates as a biotechnology company in the United States. The company is dedicated to speeding the delivery of new treatment options to patients by working to improve existing therapeutics through the application of highly specialized drug targeting platforms and formulation expertise.

Democrats Fear Bank of America Name on Stadium (Update 1)

It appears that Democrats who are gearing up for their 2012 national convention would prefer not to use the corporate name attached to the stadium where President Barack Obama will give his speech.The Charlotte convention Web site refers to Bank of America Stadium (BAC) -- the official name for where the Carolina Panthers play football -- as "Panthers Stadium.""The local host committee has used the terms 'Panthers' and 'Bank of America' interchangeably, along with the residents of Charlotte, in a variety of mediums," said Suzi Emmerling, Charlotte 2012 press secretary.In a note on the Charlotte convention Web site, Democratic political strategist Donna Brazile asked supporters to donate for the "historic event" that culminates with Obama's speech in "Panthers Stadium."In response to an inquiry about the host committee's decision to interchange the names, Carolina Panthers President Danny Morrison simply said: "We're looking forward to hosting the event at Bank of America Stadium."Maggie Haberman of Politico pointed out that the Democratic National Convention host committee referred to the location as Panthers Stadium in a previous email, which signals the party's attempt to stand up against taking corporate money.Emmerling said she could not speak to the Carolina Panthers' contractual obligations about how they refer to their stadium.The National Football League, the Carolina Panthers and Bank of America were not immediately available for comment.Bank of America in 2004 purchased the stadium's naming rights for 20 years at an average annual rate of about $7 million. Follow @JoeDeaux>To order reprints of this article, click here: Reprints

Best Stocks To Invest In 2012-1-5-3

AGL Resources (NYSE:AGL) announced that in accordance with the dividend synchronization plan announced on November 1 , Nicor Inc. shareholders of record as of the close of business December 8, 2011 , will receive a prorated final dividend of $0.005054348 per share per day (or $0.34875 per share for the stub period), accruing from October 1, 2011 . In addition, AGL Resources shareholders of record as of the close of business December 8, 2011, will receive a pro rata dividend of $0.004945055 per share per day (or $0.09890 for the stub period), accruing from November 19, 2011 . These pro rata dividends synchronize the companies’ dividends as of the December 9, 2011 merger effective date in accordance with the merger agreement and will be paid on December 16, 2011.

AGL Resources is an Atlanta -based energy services holding company with operations in natural gas distribution, retail operations, wholesale services, midstream operations and cargo shipping.

Global Hunter Corp. (GBLHF)

Global Hunter’s focus is on strategic and base metals, with an advanced stage copper oxide project in Chile and a highly prospective molybdenum property in British Columbia, Canada. GBLHF teams are working on developing the Corona de Cobre property in Chile and the Rabbit south property in British Columbia.

Pure copper is usually too soft for most uses. People first learned about 5,000 years ago that copper can be strengthened if it is mixed with other metals. The two most familiar alloys of copper are bronze and brass. Bronze, the first alloy created by people, is a mix of copper that contains as much as 25% tin. Early people used bronze to make tools, weaponry, containers and ornamental items. Brass, a mix of copper that contains between 5% and 45% zinc, was first used about 2,500 years ago. The Romans were the first to make extensive use of brass, using it to make such things as coins, kettles and ornamental objects. Today, brass is also used in some musical instruments, screws and other hardware that must resist corrosion.

Global Hunter Corp. (GBLHF.PK) is pleased to announce initial assay results from its previously announced surface sampling program. The results are encouraging with new gold showings as well as very positive copper oxide assays over wide-spread areas.

Highlights of the entire program
9 mineralized shear and/or alteration zones sampled total of 13.5 kilometers of strike length along know copper bearing shear and alteration zones tested with 205 rock chip samples

Good grades of soluble copper (oxide) over a significantly large area have been identified; however they represent only about 50% of the total copper grade indicating a mixed oxide-sulphide zone. Numerous iron oxide structures have also been mapped but no iron assays have been received to date.

The Company is planning to re-assay samples for iron to determine if iron is present in significant quantities to represent another target.

Global Hunter’s focus is on strategic and base metals, with an advanced stage copper oxide project in Chile and a highly prospective molybdenum property in British Columbia, Canada. GBLHF exploration and development teams are on the ground rapidly advancing the La Corona de Cobre property near La Serena, Chile and the Rabbit South property in British Columbia, Canada. Either one of these projects could carry the company forward on a stand-alone basis, but together they bring the company additional stability, strength and value.

For more information, please visit their website: http://www.globalhunter.ca/

Waste Management, Inc. (NYSE:WM) announced that its Board of Directors has approved a 4.4% increase in the planned quarterly dividend rate, from $0.34 to $0.355 per share. This marks the eighth consecutive year that the Company has increased its planned quarterly dividend. Each future quarterly dividend must be declared by its Board of Directors prior to payment.

Waste Management, Inc., based in Houston, Texas, is the leading provider of comprehensive waste management services in North America. Through its subsidiaries, the company provides collection, transfer, recycling and resource recovery, and disposal services. It is also a leading developer, operator and owner of waste-to-energy and landfill gas-to-energy facilities in the United States.

Allegheny Technologies Incorporated (NYSE:ATI) announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.18 per share of common stock. The dividend is payable on December 29, 2011 to stockholders of record at the close of business on December 20, 2011.

Allegheny Technologies Incorporated is one of the largest and most diversified specialty metals producers in the world with revenues of approximately $5.0 billion for the last twelve months.

 

Sunday, December 30, 2012

Record Fed Kickback: Taxpayers Get $46.1B

The Federal Reserve paid a record $46.1 billion to the U.S. Treasury in 2009 increasing by $14.4 billion its 2008 payment. It was the largest payment since the central bank was created in 1914. Its total 2009 net income of $52.1 billion also was a record.

"This is a silver lining in that big cloud of the Fed having to intervene massively and expand its balance sheet. " said Nariman Behravesh, chief economist of Global Insight.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and the Fed Board took unprecedented actions to prop up the financial system in the past year and a half. As their results continue to produce healthy outcomes, they now have the benefit of withering criticism from lawmakers bent of limiting the Fed's authority.

ETF Stats For January 2012: Trading Activity Continues To Slow

January’s new ETF activity hit the highest level in seven months. After ten days of no introductions, the pace jumped to more than one a day with 23 launches in the last 21 calendar days of the month. So far the new rollouts have been limited to ETFs rather than ETNs. Month-end totals stood at 1,189 ETFs and 203 ETNs for a total of 1,392 ETPs. Two of the new listings are actively-managed funds, pushing their count to 41. No products closed in January.

ETF/ETN assets under management climbed 8.4% to $1.15 trillion, most of which came from market gains rather than new investments. The largest product, SPDR S&P 500 (SPY), ended the month with more than $99 billion in assets and is on track to soon cross the $100 billion threshold.

Trading activity slipped with dollar volume (value traded) across all ETPs coming in at $1.16 trillion for the month. This is a -13% drop from December and a whopping -60% plunge from the $2.92 trillion pace in August 2011. Monthly dollar volume for January was the lowest since December 2010’s $1.11 trillion. Of course there were 21% fewer ETPs at that time, so January’s results were even worse on an “average per fund” basis.

Nonetheless, the number of ETFs averaging more than $1 billion in daily trading activity (the Billion Dollar Club) actually increased from 7 to 8 in January. The percentage of all ETP dollars traded by this group slipped from 56% to 55%. This suggests trading activity is moving down the food chain, away from the top tier. The trend was also evident in the next tier; the number of products averaging more than $100 million of trading per day grew from 68 to 72 while their percentage of all ETP dollar volume slipped from 89% to 88%.

January 2012 Month End ETFs ETNs Total
Currently Listed U.S. 1,189 203 1,392
Listed as of 12/31/2011 1,166 203 1,369
New Introductions for Month 23 0 23
Delistings/Closures for Month 0 0 0
Net Change for Month +23 0 +23
New Introductions 6 mths 94 35 129
New Introductions YTD 23 0 23
Delistings/Closures YTD 0 0 0
Net Change YTD +23 0 +23
Actively-Managed Listings 41 0 41
Assets Under Mgmt ($ billion) $1,134 $15.5 $1,149
% Change in Assets for Month +8.5% +5.4% +8.4%
Monthly $ Volume ($ billion) $1,142 $18.4 $1,160
% Change in Monthly $ Volume -13.0% -9.4% -13.0%
Avg Daily $ Volume > $1 Billion 8 0 8
Avg Daily $ Volume > $100 Million 70 2 72
Avg Daily $ Volume > $10 Million 219 10 229

Data sources: Daily prices and volume of individual ETPs from Norgate Premium Data, AUM from ETF Industry Association, fund counts and all other information compiled by Invest With An Edge

New products launched in January (sorted by name):

  • AdvisorShares Accuvest Global Opportunities ETF (ACCU)
  • AdvisorShares Rockledge SectorSAM ETF (SSAM)
  • Direxion S&P 1500 RC Volatility Response Shares (VSPR)
  • Direxion S&P 500 RC Volatility Response Shares (VSPY)
  • Direxion S&P Latin America 40 RC Volatility Response Shares (VLAT)
  • iShares MSCI Australia Small Cap Index Fund (EWAS)
  • iShares MSCI Canada Small Cap Index Fund (EWCS)
  • iShares MSCI Denmark Capped Investable Market Index Fund (EDEN)
  • iShares MSCI Emerging Markets EMEA Index Fund (EEME)
  • iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Latin America Index Fund (EEML)
  • iShares MSCI Finland Capped Investable Market Index Fund (EFNL)
  • iShares MSCI Germany Small Cap Index Fund (EWGS)
  • iShares MSCI Hong Kong Small Cap Index Fund (EWHS)
  • iShares MSCI Norway Capped Investable Market Index Fund (ENOR)
  • iShares MSCI Singapore Small Cap Index Fund (EWSS)
  • iShares MSCI United Kingdom Small Cap Index Fund (EWUS)
  • iShares MSCI World Index Fund (URTH)
  • PowerShares S&P Emerging Markets Low Volatility Portfolio (EELV)
  • PowerShares S&P International Developed Low Volatility Portfolio (IDLV)
  • ProShares German Sovereign/Sub-Sovereign ETF (GGOV)
  • ProShares 30 Year TIPS/TSY Spread (RINF)
  • ProShares Short 30 Year TIPS/TSY Spread (FINF)
  • SPDR S&P Small Cap Emerging Asia Pacific ETF (GMFS)
  • January new product reviews are contained in First Seven New ETFs of 2012, Nine More ETFs Emerge, and Seven Single-Country ETFs from iShares on BATS.

    Product closures/delistings in January (sorted by name):

    none

    Product changes in January:

  • Barclays GEMS Asia 8 ETN (AYT) was renamed iPath GEMS Asia 8 ETN (AYT) 1/10/12.
  • Barclays GEMS Index ETN (JEM) was renamed iPath GEMS Index ETN (JEM) 1/10/12.
  • Barclays Asian & Gulf Currency Revaluation ETN (PGD) was renamed iPath Asian & Gulf Currency Revaluation ETN (PGD) 1/10/12.
  • Announced Product Changes for Coming Months:

  • Five of the Van Eck’s new ETFs that replaced HOLDRS will undergo share splits effective February 14. Market Vectors Oil Services (OIH), Market Vectors Biotech (BBH), and Market Vectors Retail (RTH) will split 3-for-1. Market Vectors Pharmaceutical (PPH) and Market Vectors Bank and Brokerage (RKH) will split 2-for-1.
  • Global X announced that February 16, 2012 will be the last day of trading for 8 Global X ETFs: Global X Russell Emerging Markets Growth (EMGX), Global X Russell Emerging Markets Value (EMVX), Global X Mexico Small-Cap (MEXS), Global X Oil Equities (XOIL), Global X Farming (BARN), Global X Fishing Industry (FISN), Global X Food (EATX), and Global X Waste Management (WSTE).
  • Previous monthly ETF statistics reports are available here.

    Disclosure covering writer, editor, publisher, and affiliates: No positions in any of the securities mentioned. No positions in any of the companies or ETF sponsors mentioned. No income, revenue, or other compensation (either directly or indirectly) received from, or on behalf of, any of the companies or ETF sponsors mentioned.

    Curtiss-Wright Beats Up on Analysts Yet Again

    Curtiss-Wright (NYSE: CW  ) reported earnings on Feb. 14. Here are the numbers you need to know.

    The 10-second takeaway
    For the quarter ended Dec. 31 (Q4), Curtiss-Wright met expectations on revenue and beat expectations on earnings per share.

    Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue improved, and GAAP earnings per share expanded.

    Gross margin increased, operating margin dropped, and net margin expanded.

    Revenue details
    Curtiss-Wright notched revenue of $516 million. The eight analysts polled by S&P Capital IQ hoped for revenue of $512 million on the same basis. GAAP reported sales were 7.3% higher than the prior-year quarter's $523.4 million.

    Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

    EPS details
    Non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.73. The seven earnings estimates compiled by S&P Capital IQ predicted $0.68 per share on the same basis. GAAP EPS of $0.84 for Q3 were 6.3% higher than the prior-year quarter's $0.79 per share.

    Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

    Margin details
    For the quarter, gross margin was 33.4%, 20 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 10.9%, 10 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 7.1%, 10 basis points better than the prior-year quarter.

    Looking ahead
    Next quarter's average estimate for revenue is $574.7 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.84.

    Next year's average estimate for revenue is $2.07 billion. The average EPS estimate is $2.76.

    Investor sentiment
    The stock has a five-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 166 members rating the stock outperform and one member rating it underperform. Among 70 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 69 give Curtiss-Wright a green thumbs-up, and one gives it a red thumbs-down.

    Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Curtiss-Wright is outperform, with an average price target of $38.50.

    Over the decades, small-cap stocks like Curtiss-Wright have provided market-beating returns, provided they're value-priced and have solid businesses. Read about a pair of companies with a lock on their markets in "Too Small to Fail: Two Small Caps the Government Won't Let Go Broke." Click here for instant access to this free report.

    • Add Curtiss-Wright to My Watchlist.

    Fundamentals Point To 7 Dividend Payers

    Accelerating dividend payments are among the fundamental metrics fund manager Robert Zagunis tracks in his stock-selection process. Today, he discusses that in terms of the strengths in some of his picks.

    Kate Stalter: Today, our Daily Guru guest is Robert Zagunis of Jensen Investment Management. Robert, perhaps you could start off today telling our listeners a little bit about your investment philosophy, and what you see in the markets at this juncture.

    Robert Zagunis: Our investment philosophy is fundamentally a long-term approach based on the premise that enduring wealth is created by owning great companies for a long time.

    So then, the question is: How do you define great companies? For us, it really revolves around three main topics. The first is operations that can generate a return on equity, a business return on equity, of at least 15% every year for ten years in a row.

    That may seem like a severe screen, but for us, it represents several things. One is that the company can create shareholder value every year, and then it also imbues into the operations a culture of high level of operating performance, which is what we like.

    It also points to a higher quality company in terms of ratings and balance sheets, strength, and so forth.

    So the ability to then have free cash flow to self-fund your growth, make acquisitions, making their balance sheets strong, and pay dividends, are all aspects that we like in terms of being able to generate shareholder value. Then the final is a little more subjective, and that is they have to have a really exceptional management team that can make the decisions necessary to keep the high level of growth going into the future.

    Kate Stalter: Now obviously in recent months, there’s been a lot of attention to yield. How do you view the balance between yield versus capital appreciation?

    Robert Zagunis: Well, not to be too smug about it, but I think if you can get both, you’d want both.

    Part of the characteristics of these Jensen Quality Growth Fund (JENSX) companies is that they do have remarkable flexibility on their balance sheet, and they do have a general increasing trend of free cash flow. And this is after they’ve invested into the business.

    So what you end up with the profile of the companies is a strong balance sheet. They grow, they fund their growth—because you have to be able to grow in order to keep this high ROE—and they pay dividends for the most part. These dividends have been going up in double digits.

    So the main point is that in very strong companies, you get the growth, i.e. the appreciation, but then you also get the quality, which in many ways is manifested in an increasing dividend.

    So we have pretty good yields in these companies, but more importantly than just the yield is the fact that they increase their dividend regularly. We have a number of companies that have been paying dividends and increasing good dividends for decades on end. United Technologies (UTX), 3M (MMM), Abbott (ABT)…companies like that.

    Kate Stalter: You mentioned a few of the holdings that you like right now. Can you talk a little bit about some of the sectors that you might be overweighted at this point?

    Robert Zagunis: Yes, let me backtrack a little bit. We don’t manage the portfolio by sector. We manage it by individual company opportunities, so that the sector weightings are a consequence of what comes with our analysis.

    Right now, we see exceptional opportunities in health care, so we are overweighted in health care. We are overweighted in industrials, and in some cases, we don’t have any exposure right now to banks, but do have T. Rowe Price (TROW) as a financial. That weighting changes as the evolution of these companies and the opportunities sort of morph into different opportunities.

    But right now, certainly companies like Abbott Laboratories and Becton Dickinson (BDX), for example, and even Medtronic (MDT) in the medical and the health-care side of things we like.

    And on the industrial side, companies like Emerson (EMR), who just recently became a lot more aggressive on the M&A side and they’re going to sort of flex their muscle to grow. And United Technologies, which announced a major acquisition in Goodrich, which we like long term. So they kind of continue the trend of growth and good shareholder value creation.

    Avoid Investing in Repression

    Keeping tabs on an entire population is still reserved for the most financially dedicated despots, according to a Brookings Institution report. The catch, however, is that costs are dropping quickly. Dictators will soon find tracking every word and deed to be well within budget, but even at today's higher rates, there seems no shortage of companies willing to help.

    If you pride yourself on owning a responsible portfolio, you should take a long, hard look at companies exposing any nation's people to Big Brother's watchful eye.

    The tech behind the curtain
    Last year's Arab Spring offered the world a dramatic, and often very personal, glimpse into repressive regimes. It's no surprise that Gadhafi's Libya had a heavy hand and watchful eye on the people's Internet use, but the dictator's fall opened the door to the control room, so to speak. Similar revelations have occurred on Syrian and Chinese spying efforts, and much of the technology behind the tracking is now publicly known.

    Looking over your shoulder in Libya
    Many Libyan-linked cyber-surveillance companies are foreign-based. Amesys, a unit of French firm Bull SA, provided technological and logistical support to the Gadhafi government, including training manuals and intrusive deep packet inspection software. Chinese telecom ZTE and South Africa's VASTech also figure prominently in the former regime's tracking efforts.

    On the other side of the coin, freedom-loving Libyans made good use of Microsoft's encrypted chat service Skype to evade watchful eyes and curious ears. Many revolutionaries also posted calls to arms on YouTube, which became a prime Gadhafi censorship target. However, neither is immune to determined prying, and Skype's vaunted security might already be cracked.

    Stalk like an Egyptian
    One company fingered (but vindicated) for a Libyan connection was Boeing (NYSE: BA  ) through its Internet traffic monitoring subsidiary Narus. However, the company isn't off the hook. Narus, which supplies deep packet inspection equipment and monitoring software, has been tied to the deposed Mubarak government, Pakistani telecom operators, and Saudi Arabia, none known for championing openness.

    Spy times in Syria
    NetApp (Nasdaq: NTAP  ) found itself in a PR and legal imbroglio after its archival solutions (think storing your emails) were used by an Italian contractor to set up a spying op for Syria's al-Assad government. Recently acquired Blue Coat Systems (Nasdaq: BCSI  ) also found itself under the microscope when the U.S. government discovered that its tracking and censorship technology might have wound up in Syrian hands.

    For their part, both companies deny they've sold to Syria, a smart legal move given that U.S. sanctions forbid it. The companies can only do so much to prevent their tools from falling into the wrong hands -- but the existence of such tools all but guarantees that they will, one way or another. Many will say that the only answer is no cyber-surveillance at all, but once the snowball starts rolling it becomes very hard to stop.

    Censoring Chinese citizens makes cents
    Last, and possibly most well-reported, is Cisco's (Nasdaq: CSCO  ) sale of surveillance equipment to the Chinese government. The networking company isn't making any friends with its cozy Chinese relationships, as it was sued a month prior to the megasale for what amounts to "accessory to snooping." No one can say with certainty what the cameras and equipment will be used for, but odds are against a Chinese Truman Show reenactment.

    What can you do?
    Freedom-conscious investors should take a long look at companies supplying such tracking and restricting solutions, whether or not they ultimately end up in a despot's hands. The plummeting costs of technology also make this a dubious windfall for any company over the long term. The Brookings research estimated that Syria would only need to spend $2.5 million to track every phone call made by every Syrian over the age of 14 for a year. Analyzing such data would be extra, but the cost of storage will be a tenth as much by 2016, and comparatively more sophisticated (and more oppressive) analytics are likely to be operating at rather lower prices.

    As the old saying goes, you can spy on some of the people all of the time, or all of the people some of the time... but what happens when you want to spy on everyone 24/7? You're going to have to pay up -- at least for now. As costs keep falling, the only real winners in this race will be the dictators, both known and aspiring.

    To find some companies that can make you money without making you uncomfortable, take a look at the Fool's free report on dividend stocks for the long haul. They're stable, they've got history, and they just want to earn your trust with rock-solid business and consistent dividends. Grab your free copy while it's still available.

    Saturday, December 29, 2012

    Social Security COLA Increase Could Be Offset by Higher Medicare Premiums: IRI

    (Photo: AP)

    The Social Security Administration announced Tuesday that monthly Social Security and Supplemental Security Income (SSI) benefits for nearly 62 million Americans will increase 1.7% in 2013.

    But some retirement groups are worried that a looming Medicare Part B premium increase that could consume most of that extra money reflects a worrisome trend of health-related costs consuming a larger share of retirement resources.

    The 1.7% cost of living adjustment (COLA) will begin with benefits that more than 56 million Social Security beneficiaries receive in January. Increased payments to more than 8 million SSI beneficiaries will begin on Dec. 31, according to the Social Security Administration.

    Despite the increase, most Social Security recipients may not receive bigger benefit checks as the increase could be mostly offset by higher Medicare Part B premiums, which typically are deducted from Social Security benefits, according to the Insured Retirement Institute (IRI).

    IRI said in a statement released the same day that Part B premium costs for 2013 will be announced in the near future, but estimates show an increase is on the horizon, with the 2012 Medicare Trustees Report projecting an increase of more than 9%.

    “While the majority of Medicare beneficiaries are protected by the hold-harmless provision, which prevents a beneficiary’s Social Security check from declining, any offset of the COLA reduces the overall purchasing power of the Social Security benefit, as the increase is designed to keep pace with inflation,” IRI says. “Furthermore, the provision does not apply to higher-income individuals and new enrollees, who can expect premiums to consume a larger share of their Social Security checks.”

    IRI President and CEO Cathy Weatherford said in the same statement that “this reflects the growing trend of health-related expenses eating into retirement income,” The cost of health care, she said, “is a real risk that can jeopardize one’s retirement security. Now more than ever, consumers need to be aware of how quickly health-related expenditures can decimate retirement savings and develop a plan with a financial advisor that includes a strategy to cover basic living expenses as well as medical expenditures.”

    According to IRI research, 42% of baby boomers expect Social Security to be a major source of retirement income. The same study also found that only 37% of boomers are confident that they will have enough money to take care of their medical expenses during retirement. A separate IRI study found that cumulative health care expenses including premiums for a healthy 65-year-old male, throughout the remainder of his life, will reach $369,000 on average. For a healthy 65-year-old female, cumulative costs will reach $417,000 on average.

    Has NorthStar Realty Finance Become the Perfect Stock?

    Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?

    One thing's for sure: You'll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let's discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if NorthStar Realty Finance (NYSE: NRF  ) fits the bill.

    The quest for perfection
    Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:

    • Growth. Expanding businesses show healthy revenue growth. While past growth is no guarantee that revenue will keep rising, it's certainly a better sign than a stagnant top line.
    • Margins. Higher sales mean nothing if a company can't produce profits from them. Strong margins ensure that company can turn revenue into profit.
    • Balance sheet. At debt-laden companies, banks and bondholders compete with shareholders for management's attention. Companies with strong balance sheets don't have to worry about the distraction of debt.
    • Money-making opportunities. Return on equity helps measure how well a company is finding opportunities to turn its resources into profitable business endeavors.
    • Valuation. You can't afford to pay too much for even the best companies. By using normalized figures, you can see how a stock's simple earnings multiple fits into a longer-term context.
    • Dividends. For tangible proof of profits, a check to shareholders every three months can't be beat. Companies with solid dividends and strong commitments to increasing payouts treat shareholders well.

    With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at NorthStar Realty Finance.

    Factor

    What We Want to See

    Actual

    Pass or Fail?

    Growth

    5-year annual revenue growth > 15%

    16.1%

    Pass

    1-year revenue growth > 12%

    (1.8%)

    Fail

    Margins

    Gross margin > 35%

    84.1%

    Pass

    Net margin > 15%

    (98.5%)

    Fail

    Balance sheet

    Debt to equity < 50%

    347.3%

    Fail

    Current ratio > 1.3

    2.33

    Pass

    Opportunities

    Return on equity > 15%

    (30.7%)

    Fail

    Valuation

    Normalized P/E < 20

    NM

    NM

    Dividends

    Current yield > 2%

    10.2%

    Pass

    5-year dividend growth > 10%

    (15.5%)

    Fail

    Total score

    4 out of 9

    Source: S&P Capital IQ. NM = not meaningful due to negative earnings. Total score = number of passes.

    Since we looked at NorthStar Realty Finance last year, the company has given back the two points it gained from 2010 to 2011. But that hasn't kept the stock's price from jumping more than 40% over the past year as dividend fever continues to run rampant across the stock market.

    NorthStar Realty Finance is a real-estate investment trust that focuses on commercial real-estate debt and securities. The company uses the same leveraged model that traditional residential mortgage REITs Annaly Capital (NYSE: NLY  ) and American Capital Agency (NASDAQ: AGNC  ) use to produce their high dividend payouts, simply using commercial debt rather than residential to reap the rewards.

    But the Federal Reserve's recent move to aim its quantitative easing efforts at the residential mortgage-backed securities market has led to an increase in interest for alternatives to residential mortgage REITs. With Annaly having made a move to buy out former spinoff Crexus Investment (NYSE: CXS  ) , mortgage REIT managers may well seek out buyouts of NorthStar or peer RAIT Financial Trust (NYSE: RAS  ) as ways to diversify their business.

    NorthStar has cashed in on the interest in its shares, doing a secondary offering of 25 million shares last week to raise more than $150 million. That sent the stock price down briefly, but shares have already recovered beyond the offering price.

    For NorthStar to improve, it needs to use its secondary proceeds to build up more revenue. That'll be essential if the REIT wants to get closer to perfection in the years ahead.

    Keep searching
    No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate out the best investments from the rest.�

    Like NorthStar, Annaly Capital has a history of paying huge dividends to shareholders. But there are some crucial issues investors have to understand about the leveraged business model that these companies use. Find out whether Annaly is too risky to buy right now by looking at our new premium research report on the mortgage REIT, in which our analyst gives his view of the industry. Click here now to claim your copy.

    Click here to add NorthStar Realty Finance to My Watchlist, which can find all of our Foolish analysis on it and all your other stocks.

    Mighty winds force trans-Atlantic fuel stops

    NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Many non-stop flights from Europe to the U.S. aren't: Unusually high winds are forcing airlines flying west across the Atlantic to make unscheduled stops to take on more fuel.

    The conditions are causing inconveniences to fliers who are often missing connections once they land, costing the airlines money to rebook or otherwise compensate their customers.

    United Continental Holdings (UAL, Fortune 500), which is operating under both the United Airlines and Continental Airlines brands as it moves to complete its merger, said it diverted 43 out of 1,100 flights in December using the Boeing (BA, Fortune 500) 757 jet flying from Europe to the United States. A year earlier it only had to divert 12 flights.

    Company spokeswoman Megan McCarthy said the winds were typically 30 knots in December the previous decade, but they averaged 47 knots last month, with half the month averaging 60 knots.

    The unusually high winds and the flight diversions have continued in the first 11 days of January, she said, although she did not have any statistics.

    Other airlines have also been affected. AMR (AAMRQ) unit American Airlines said it has happened occasionally on the trans-Atlantic routes on which it uses the 757, although it could not provide statistics.

    McCarthy does not have any estimates on costs to the airlines from the high winds, but said most of the costs have been associated with payments to customers.

    "We have been offering compensation as a gesture of good will when circumstances merit," she said.

    The eastbound flights are saving fuel due to the unusually strong tail winds. The high winds have also been associated with an unusually mild start to winter in the United States, which has saved the airlines money as well.

    The planes typically land at Gander and Goose Bay in the Canadian province of Newfoundland and Labrador. But other fueling stops have been made in Iceland, Ireland, Nova Scotia, Albany, N.Y., and even Stewart International Airport, only 60 miles north of New York City.

    Some larger planes have a longer range and are not having to make as many extra stops to refuel. But the 757, which holds about 169 passengers, is common on trans-Atlantic flights.

    McCarthy said it has been used for years by both Continental and United, and was not something that was introduced on the routes as a result of the recent merger of the two carriers. 

    Fate of Dodd-Frank Likely Rests in Election Results

    President Obama congratulated then-Sen. Chris Dodd, center, and Rep. Barney Frank after signing their bill. (Photo: AP)

    With the two-year anniversary of the passage of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act on July 21, industry officials are weighing in on the law’s progress and how the presidential election in November may affect the final shape of two areas of Dodd-Frank that, for advisors, remain unresolved: a fiduciary duty rule for brokers and a self-regulatory organization (SRO) to oversee advisors.

    As of now, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has yet to propose a rule to put broker-dealers under a fiduciary duty when providing personalized investment advice to retail customers under Section 913 of Dodd-Frank. David Tittsworth, executive director of the Investment Adviser Association (IAA) in Washington, says that even if the SEC were to propose such a rule in the near future, it was “unlikely” that such a rulemaking will be finalized before the end of the year. What’s more, he says, “it is certainly possible that the fate of any such rulemaking may be affected by the results of the Nov. 6 election.”

    The outcome of the election may also have a “significant effect” on if, when and how a fiduciary duty rule—as well as House Financial Services Committee Chairman Spencer Bachus’ bill to create an SRO for advisors—will be addressed, Tittsworth (right) says.

    Rep. Maxine Waters, D-Calif., will introduce legislation to allow the SEC to collect user fees to fund advisor exams “in the near future,” Tittsworth says, “but it is unlikely that either approach [SRO or user fees] will be adopted this year.”

    Of course, visible results of Dodd-Frank on the investment advisory community have been the “switching” of advisors with less than $100 million in assets under management from the SEC to the states, plus the required registration of private fund advisors with more than $150 million in AUM with the SEC.

    Tittsworth said that as a result of the switch, the number of SEC-registered investment advisors has decreased from 12,000 to about 10,000. However, these advisors’ total collective AUM has increased to $48.6 trillion, he says. Other related regulatory requirements, Tittsworth says, including Form PF and the large-trader rule, “represent additional complexities for advisory firms that manage private funds.”

    Dan Barry, managing director of Government Relations & Public Policy for the Financial Planning Association (FPA), notes that while “a lot of work has been done” in implementing Dodd-Frank, “a lot of unfinished business” remains. “Boosting investor protection through SEC fiduciary rules for brokers giving advice should remain a priority item,” he says, “as should beefing up the SEC’s oversight program for investment advisors.”

    According to the law firm Dechert, as of Wednesday, a total of 221 Dodd-Frank rulemaking requirement deadlines have passed. Of these 221 passed deadlines, 136 (61.5%) have been missed and 85 (38.5%) have been met with finalized rules. In addition, 123 (30.9%) of the 398 total required rulemakings have been finalized, while 141 (35.4%) rulemaking requirements have not yet been proposed. Tittsworth adds that if Republicans “run the table in this year’s elections, it is certainly possible that some of the more controversial provisions of the Dodd-Frank Act may be revisited.” However, a full repeal is unlikely, and “the financial services industry will be dealing with the Dodd-Frank Act for many years to come.”

    Indeed, this was evident at a recent congressional hearing. While members of the House Financial Services Committee sparred in early July over whether the Dodd-Frank Act is hurting more than it’s helping, representatives from various segments of the financial services community testifying before the committee stopped short of saying Dodd-Frank needed to be repealed.

    Regular citizens are also signaling their support of financial reforms. An opinion poll released Wednesday by Lake Research Partners of 803 Americans likely to vote in the November election found that financial reforms enacted in response to the 2008 financial crisis remain popular.

    Results of the poll, conducted from July 5 to 10 and commissioned by AARP, the Center for Responsible Lending (CRL), Americans for Financial Reform (AFR) and the National Council of La Raza (NCLR), were the following:

    • Voters favor Dodd-Frank by a 53-point margin (73-20). The support crosses party lines, with Republicans in favor by a 20-point margin, Independents by a 50-point margin and Democrats by an 83-point margin.
    • Voters support the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), created by Dodd-Frank, by a 40-point margin. Two-thirds (66%) of voters overall and 69% of independents agree that the CFPB is needed.
    • Two-thirds of voters—including 78% of Republicans—support a state’s right to pass and enforce stronger consumer protections and preventing federal law from overriding them.
    • Americans clearly want stronger, not weaker, government oversight of financial companies. A majority (60%) of voters, including 65% of independents, favor more government oversight. And 73% of voters support tougher rules and enforcement for Wall Street financial companies, compared to just 17% who say they don’t need further regulation.
    • Voters want Wall Street to be held accountable and prevented from repeating the same actions again. Nearly two-thirds of voters (64%) agree with the statement that Wall Street must be held accountable and prevented from repeating the same actions again and believe this will help the economy. Just 28% agree with an opposing statement that Wall Street reform is a job killer that creates excessive government regulation and bureaucracy that stands in the way of our economic recovery.

    Fidelity Institutional Names Couto to Head Renamed Investment Division

    Fidelity Investments on Friday named Scott Couto as president of Fidelity Financial Advisor Solutions, the unit formerly known as Fidelity Investments Institutional Services that distributes investment management products and solutions to intermediaries, including advisors affiliated with wirehouses, independent broker-dealers and RIA firms. The appointment and name change takes effect immediately.

    Couto (left), a CFA, had been interim head of the unit since early this year, following the December 2010 departure of Peter Cieszko. In June, American Century announced that Cieszko would be joining the fund company this summer in the newly created position of senior vide president, North America, with responsibility for all institutional and intermediary sales. Couto joined Fidelity in 2009 from Evergreen Investments, where he had been COO and head of the fund firm's intermediary business; Cieszko had been a top executive at the firm as well.

    Prior to being named interim head of the renamed unit at Fidelity, Couto had been executive vice president of product management and marketing for Fidelity Investments Institutional Services.

    Fidelity spokesperson Steve Austin said that Fidelity Personal, Workplace and Institutional Services—the Fidelity organization that since last year oversees all distribution efforts for Fidelity and is headed by Abigail Johnson—spent six months looking at the intermediary market, and the name change is part of a broader strategic plan for that market. The division now headed by Couto works with 4,000 institutions and 54,000 advisors with a collective $385 billion in AUM.

    Austin further said that Fidelity felt the new name was “appropriate for the greater focus on the intermediary market,” and that beyond merely distributing specific Fidelity mutual funds, reflected a greater focus on providing the “products, tools and guidance” to help advisors better serve the investing needs of their end clients.

    In his new position, Couto will report to Gerard McGraw, president of Fidelity Institutional.

    Goldman Sachs Cut from FBR Top Picks

    Goldman Sachs (GS) is still a “Buy,” but Friday’s SEC suit does pose a threat to the share price, writes FBR Capital financial analyst Steve Stelmach in a note to clients this morning.

    (Come to think of it, the SEC suit was already a huge overhang on Friday, but that’s neither here nor there!)

    Stelmach reiterated an “Outperform” rating on the stock, and a $190 price target, and he writes that the reaction in the market seems to expect a bigger hit to profits than is likely. The 13% decline Friday implies a $2 billion hit pre-tax, writes Stelmach, whereas the investors in the Abacus CDO lost only about $1 billion, reportedly.

    Nevertheless, he’s taking Goldman off FBR’s “Top Picks List,” writing that “Investors should not ignore the potential regulatory spiral that may follow the SEC’s recent actions,” writes Stelmach, “and the potential for a valuation overhang despite an otherwise strong operating environment.”

    The most immediate threat is greater derivatives regulation, Stelmach observes, which would hit Goldman’s fixed-income, currencies and commodities, which accounted for 38% of revenue the last two years, and which has been a relative bright spot amidst the vicissitudes of equity trading and M&A for Goldman.

    Weekly Unemployment Claims Fall By 19,000

    The Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report was released this morning for last week. The 19,000 decline in new claims number matches the 19,000 decline from a week ago (factoring in the 4,000 upward adjustment for last week). These are the largest declines since the 33,000 drop for the week ending on September 24. The less volatile and closely watched four-week moving average came in at 387,750, the fifth week below 400K for the 4-week MA after 29 consecutive weeks above that benchmark. Here is the official statement from the Department of Labor:

    In the week ending December 10, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 366,000, a decrease of 19,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 385,000. The 4-week moving average was 387,750, a decrease of 6,500 from the previous week's revised average of 394,250.

    The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 2.9 percent for the week ending December 3, unchanged from the prior week's revised rate.

    The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending December 3 was 3,603,000, an increase of 4,000 from the preceding week's revised level of 3,599,000. The 4-week moving average was 3,666,250, a decrease of 5,000 from the preceding week's revised average of 3,671,250.

    Today's seasonally adjusted number came in well below the Briefing.com consensus estimate of 390K.

    As we can see, there's a good bit of volatility in this indicator, which is why the 4-week moving average (shown in the callouts) is a more useful number than the weekly data.

    (Click charts to expand)


    Occasionally I see articles critical of seasonal adjustment, especially when the non-adjusted number better suits the author's bias. But a comparison of these two charts clearly shows extreme volatility of the non-adjusted data, and the 4-week MA gives an indication of the recurring pattern of seasonal change in the second chart (note, for example, those regular January spikes).

    Recent Performance Review Of Five Large, High-Yield Agency REITs

    With the current low-interest rates on cash, CDs and Treasuries, more and more investors are seeking out higher-yielding alternatives to supplement fixed income portfolios. One popular option that offers some of the highest yields among publicly traded equities are agency mortgage REITs.

    Mortgage REITs own mortgages on real estate, unlike most REITs, which own and operate real estate. Within the realm of residential mortgage REITs, there are two primary types: those holding residential mortgage-backed securities insured by federal agencies and those that own mortgage backed securities without agency insurance.

    Agency mortgage REITs should have portfolios exclusively composed of mortgages insured by federal agencies. Government agencies take numerous mortgages, combine them and then issue the securities. Such agency paper is fairly close to a U.S. Treasury, though it does have added risks and a slightly higher yield. These agency backed securities come with an agency backing and an implied U.S. government backing.

    The government has opted to continue bailing out agency securities. Additional borrowers continue to default on agency-backed loans, but the agencies continue to pay on their behalf, initially, and eventually buy out the defaulting mortgage. Such prepayment buying-out of loans has a volatile affect upon an agency REIT's quarterly income, yield and asset valuation, but prepayment is dramatically preferable to an outright default.

    This past week, several agency REITs announced their fourth quarter and full year 2011 results, including the two largest agency REITs: American Capital Agency Corp. (AGNC) and Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY). Both reported below expectations, with reduced spreads that are likely to get tighter in the first quarter of 2012.

    On Monday, February 6, 2012, American Capital Agency reported net Q4 income of $208.7 million, or $0.99 per share, compared to $1.39 per share during Q3 of 2011. Following their announcement of earnings, AGNC also announced a dividend policy cut, lowering the quarterly payout to $1.25 from 1.40 per share. This was the first time in two and half years that AGNC cut or changed its quarterly dividend.

    On Tuesday, February 7, 2012, Annaly reported net Q4 income of 54 cents per share, compared to 60 cents for the same quarter in 2010 and 65 cents for Q3 of 2011. Wall Street expectations were for earnings to be slightly higher, and on average, between 56 and 57 cents per share. Annaly did not yet report on its forthcoming dividend, but a minor dividend reduction appears probable.

    Below, I have provided recent performance rates for five reasonably liquid and high yielding Agency Mortgage REITs: American Capital Agency Corp, Annaly Capital Management, Inc, Capstead Mortgage Corp (CMO), Cypress Sharpridge Investments (CYS) and Hatteras Financial Corp (HTS). I have provided 1-week, 2012-to-date and 3-month equity performance rates, as well as each REIT's yield.

    And below is a 2012-to-date performance comparison chart:

    Despite the recent reports by agency REITs that were below Wall Street expectations, these REITs are all positive so far in 2012. The average appreciation by this group so far this year is 4.74 percent. The group's average annual yield now stands at 14.28 percent, though some payouts may come down in the coming weeks.

    One reason that these agency REITs are positive this year is that on Wednesday, January 25, 2012, Ben Bernanke updated U.S. interest rate policy in a manner that should benefit agency mREITs. Ben Bernanke commented that the Federal Reserve intends to maintain the Federal Funds Rate near zero through 2014.

    Low borrowing rates should help these REITs, at least in the near term, maintain profitable spreads. Additionally, continued low rates should be expected to cause investors to seek out high-yielding income alternatives including REITs. Over the last few years, Federal Reserve comments have generally been positive for agency REITs.

    These agency REITs occupy some of the highest-yielding space in most portfolios, but that yield comes with some risks. Exposure to agency REITs should be limited to a reasonable portion of an income oriented portfolio, with the understanding that the dividends are not guaranteed to grow or even be maintained at their current rates in the coming quarters.

    Disclosure: I am long (NLY).

    Disclaimer: This article is intended to be informative and should not be construed as personalized advice as it does not take into account your specific situation or objectives.

    Orexigen Therapeutics: A Safe Short on Likely Drug Rejection

    With the near 50% fall in MannKind (MNKD) just last week on FDA asking for more data, Orexigen Therapeutics (OREX) is likely to suffer the same fate. Decision is scheduled for Jan. 30th, but don’t wait since MNKD’s decision was scheduled for the 26th but got the FDA request on the 19th, and in response plunged. If you can, this might be one “safe” short play.

    On December 8th, shares more than doubled in value, setting a two-year high of $11.15 after the panel recommended approval for its drug candidate Contrave. As noted here, “advisers last month recommended the FDA approve the drug and then require a follow-up safety study.” However, I can’t see the FDA doing this. How could they approve a drug before a safety study? That doesn’t sound logical to me.

    It is not unusual that the FDA doesn’t follow the panel’s advice. We saw this happen in the past. And this past year’s FDA has been one of the stingiest ever.

    Orexigen develops the obesity drug Contrave. The drug itself has many positives such as causing more weight loss and a lower increase in blood pressure or heart rate than obesity drug Meridia, which was approved in 1997 but pulled from the market last year on increased risk of heart attack and stroke. However, over a one-year trial, about half of the patients lost only 5% of their weight, a number that may not be significant enough to guarantee approval. And Contrave also has concerning cardiac issues. Plus, the incident that one death did occur in trials is a huge red flag.

    Short interest is 26%, a little on the high side. Insiders have been selling lately. Do they know something we don’t?

    click to enlarge

    Source: MSN Money

    Given the fact that the drug had already surged on positive FDA panal vote, the stock can loose just as much if it gets a delay. In the end, the drug may get approved, since it clearly has benefits, but it won’t happen on January 31st or anytime soon. And on a swing play; one can also buy shares after the plunge, since the drug still has promise.

    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

    Texas Law Requiring Voter IDs Is Blocked584 comments

    Previously
    • Voter ID Laws Lead Flurry of New Statutes 12/31/11
    • South Carolina Voter Law Barred by Administration 12/24/12

    HOUSTON—The U.S. Justice Department on Monday blocked Texas from enforcing a law that requires voters to show state-issued photo identification at the polls, saying it would disproportionately affect Hispanics.

    The agency's move is likely to fan the flames around the issue nationally, as state legislatures consider toughening voter-ID laws in an election year. Republicans argue that requiring voters to show IDs will help combat fraud; Democrats claim the measures are designed to make it harder to vote for minorities, the elderly and other groups who tend to back Democrats.

    Texas is one many jurisdictions, mostly in the South, required to get permission from the Justice Department or judges in the District of Columbia federal court before making changes to voting laws. This requirement applies to states that were found by the U.S. to have restricted the opportunity to vote.

    Bring Your ID

    See a state-by-state breakdown of voter-identification requirements.

    View Interactive

    The Justice Department said that Hispanics registered to vote in Texas are considerably less likely to have drivers licenses or state-issued IDs than other voters, citing data supplied by Texas in its bid to win clearance for the law passed last May. Under the Voting Rights Act, states must prove that voting legislation does not make it harder for racial or ethnic minorities to vote.

    "I cannot conclude that the state has sustained its burden," wrote Thomas E. Perez, assistant attorney general, in a letter to Texas's director of elections on Monday. He added, "The state has failed to demonstrate why it could not meet its stated goals of ensuring electoral integrity and deterring ineligible voters from voting" without the new law.

    Also Monday, a county judge in Wisconsin blocked part of a voter-ID law passed last year, ruling the Wisconsin legislature and GOP Gov. Scott Walker "exceeded their constitutional authority" by requiring citizens to show a photo ID to vote.

    In the ruling, Dane County Circuit Judge Richard Niess agreed with a local voter group that the law violated the state Constitution by disenfranchising citizens without a photo ID. Judge Niess also questioned the effort to prevent voter fraud with voter-ID laws. Voter "fraud is no more poisonous to our democracy than voter suppression," he wrote. "Indeed, they are two heads on the same monster."

    Another Wisconsin judge last week temporarily suspended the law until a hearing next month. The law, which drew four lawsuits, is now blocked pending a successful appeal of Judge Niess's ruling. Wisconsin holds local elections and the Republican presidential primary on April 3.

    Mr. Walker's office said, "Requiring photo identification to vote is common sense—we require it to get a library card, cold medicine and public assistance.… We are confident the state will prevail in its plan to implement photo ID."

    The Texas decision marks the second time in recent months the Justice Department has blocked a state from requiring voters to show a state-issued photo ID. In December, it objected that such a law in South Carolina would disproportionately affect minority voters. The state has sued the agency in federal court in Washington to get judicial approval of its law.

    Texas, anticipating the agency's rejection, also sued, arguing its law should be approved because of similar laws in effect in other states. State Attorney General Greg Abbott said Texas "should not be treated differently and must have the same authority as other states to protect the integrity of our elections."

    The spat is likely to ripple across the nation: Voter-ID legislation is pending in 32 state legislatures, and 10 of them are considering proposals to tighten requirements, said the National Council of State Legislatures.

    Attorney General Eric Holder, in recent speeches and congressional testimony, has said instances of voter fraud are rare, and that he views voter-ID laws as a "solution in search of a problem."

    In a speech last month at Tulane University, Mr. Holder said that while voter fraud wouldn't be tolerated by the Justice Department, "new state rules requiring photo identification to cast a vote too often appear to make a mockery of the promise of real participation in our electoral system."

    —Evan Perez and Jack Nicas contributed to this article.

    A Foolish Interview With Aswath Damodaran

    Not long ago, my colleague Bryan White and I had the good fortune to interview Mr. Aswath Damodaran. Damodaran is a professor of finance at the Stern School of Business at New York University, where he teaches corporate finance and equity valuation, and we had an enlightening discussion on investing and different ways to view valuation.

    In celebration of our Worldwide Invest Better Day happening on Sept. 25, I encourage you to give this interview a listen. I guarantee you'll be a better investor for it!

    Please enable Javascript to view this video.

    Friday, December 28, 2012

    The Dow Quietly Gains Strength

    The third trading session of the week is another yawner, as it appears investors are stuck in holding pattern until a Greek debt deal gets done, but that doesn't mean there isn't any action happening.

    But before we dive in to the day's big stories, let's see how exactly the three largest indexes are faring with an hour left in today's session.

    Index

    Gain / Loss

    Gain / Loss %

    Ending Value

    Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEX: ^DJI  ) 3.06 0.02% 12,881.26
    Nasdaq (Nasdaq: IXIC  ) 9.98 0.34% 2,914.06
    S&P 500 2.44 0.18% 1,349.49

    Source: Yahoo! Finance.

    The Dow is just marginally positive, but exactly two-thirds of its components are recording gains. Tech giant and newest Dow member Cisco (Nasdaq: CSCO  ) reports earnings today after markets close and shares are currently up 0.5%. Cisco struggled in 2011 to top 2010 earnings results, but last quarter (its first of 2012), the company managed to change that with earnings of $0.43 a share. Analysts expect per share earnings to stay flat sequentially, but Cisco has a history of beating the Street, topping estimates every quarter since mid-2008.

    More importantly: IPO mania is back! With Facebook's initial public offering sucking most of the oxygen out of the room, casino operator Caesars Entertainment (NYSE: CZR  ) debuted with a surprisingly little amount of fanfare for such a well-known casino operator. However, investors loved what they saw, launching shares up 80% when bidding started. Shares currently sit two-thirds higher than the IPO price of $9.

    A couple words of caution: Less than 2% of the company's float was made available, so investors won't hold any sway over management, and unlike Wynn Resorts (Nasdaq: WYNN  ) , which has an presence in Macau, Caesars is currently shut out of the increasingly important gambling destination. Also, its balance sheet carries $22 billion in debt, seven times that of Wynn, thanks to its leveraged private-equity buyout. Bottom line: unless you were lucky enough to receive original shares, jumping in post-pop is probably as wise as betting it all on black.

    Watching the broad market each day is exciting, gut-wrenching, and stressful. If you're in the mood to pick up a great company to buy for the long term, The Motley Fool has created a brand-new free report: "The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2012." It features a company hand-selected by the Fool's chief investment officer that has a strong future ahead of it. I invite you to take a copy, free for a limited time. Get access to the report and find out the name of this legendary company. The report is free, but won't be available forever, so check it out today!

    Wednesday Options Update: MDVN, TEX, EWZ & COST

    Medivation, Inc. (MDVN) – The failure of Dimebon, Pfizer and Medivation’s experimental drug for Alzheimer’s disease, to benefit patients in an advanced study sent MDVN’s shares reeling toward rock-bottom today. The drug’s disappointing results inspired a rash of analyst downgrades on Medivation and pushed shares down 67.80% to $12.96. The biopharmaceutical company was cut to ‘hold’ from ‘buy’ and received a twelve month target share price of $10.00 at Roth Capital, which is just one of many downgrades announced thus far today. Options trading patterns reveal mixed sentiment on Medivation, particularly in the heavily populated March contract. Contrarian players betting on a recovery in the price of the underlying stock by expiration purchased 3,200 in-the-money calls at the March $12.5 strike for an average premium of $1.26 apiece. The higher March $15 strike had more buying interest, with 6,200 call options picked up for a premium of $0.43 each. Call-selling outweighed buying at the higher March $17.5 strike price where 5,600 calls were shed for an average premium of $0.11 per contract. Perhaps traders purchasing calls believe the price of Medivation’s shares has bottomed out at present. Options implied volatility fell off the proverbial cliff following the Dimebon news and is currently down 68% to 81.31%.

    Terex Corp. (TEX) – Bullish option traders picked up the haunting aroma of a rally today as shares of global equipment manufacturer, Terex Corporation, jumped 8.20% to $21.62. Investors wasted little time populating TEX with optimistic positioning at the start of the trading session. Plain-vanilla in-the-money call buying took place at the March $20 strike where 2,400 contracts were picked up for an average premium of $0.94 each. Approximately 1,500 in-the-money calls were coveted at the higher March $21 strike for $0.61 apiece, while 1,000 out-of-the-money call options were purchased at the March $23 strike for an average premium of $0.22 per contract. Bulls also frequented the April $22 strike where 1,000 contracts were purchased at an average premium of $0.79 each. Uber-bullish individuals picked up nearly 2,000 lots at the higher April $24 strike for $0.31 per contract. Investors long the April $24 strike calls stand ready to amass profits if Terex’s shares surge 12.45% from the current price of $21.62, to surpass the effective breakeven point at $24.31 by expiration day next month.

    iShares MSCI Brazil Index ETF (EWZ) – Shares of the EWZ, an exchange-traded fund which tracks the price and performance of securities traded in the Brazilian market as measured by the MSCI Brazil index, increased 1.90% to $71.82 today. Despite the rally in the price of the underlying stock, one options player initiated a bearish risk reversal in the June contract. The investor sold 6,000 calls at the June $85 strike for a premium of $0.75 each in order to partially finance the purchase of 6,000 puts at the lower June $65 strike for $2.52 apiece. The net cost of the reversal amounts to $1.77 per contract, and positions the investor to accumulate profits should shares trade below the breakeven price of $63.23 by expiration in June. If the trader is long shares of the underlying fund, the puts serve to protect the value of the position should shares decline, and the short calls mimic a covered-call stance. However, if the investor does not hold an equivalent number of EWZ shares, the naked selling of call options at the June $85 strike exposes the trader to potentially devastating losses in the event of a sudden surge in shares ahead of expiration.

    Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST) – The largest warehouse-club chain in the United States posted a 25% increase in second-quarter profit to secure earnings of $0.67 per share up from $0.55 a share one year earlier. Shares are trading slightly lower by 0.70% to $60.95, however, and inspired one investor to initiate a protective put play in the April contract. The trader enacted a ratio put spread by purchasing roughly 2,000 contracts at the April $60 strike for an average premium of $1.11 apiece, marked against the sale of approximately 4,000 put options at the lower April $57.5 strike for $0.45 each. The net cost of the spread amounts to $0.21 per contract. If the investor is long shares of the underlying stock, the put spread serves to protect the value of the position should Costco’s shares trade below the breakeven point at $59.79 ahead of expiration day. Options implied volatility contracted 16.77% to 16.67% following earnings.

    Stocks fall on dashed hopes of EU bond buying

    NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- U.S. stocks slipped Thursday as anxiety was high ahead of a crucial summit aimed at resolving the European debt crisis.

    The stock sell-off accelerated in the last 20 minutes of trading, with all three indexes falling to their lows of the day, after a flurry of headlines put the likelihood of a debt crisis solution into question.

    U.S. stocks were down throughout the day after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi refused to commit to offering broad assistance to troubled eurozone countries and emphasized "substantial downside risks" for the European economy.

    Still according to market participants, much of Thursday's trading was maneuvering to bet on what EU leaders might accomplish during their meeting Friday to decide whether the countries will agree to closer political and economic coordination.

    "Tomorrow could be one of the most important days in global markets," said Uri Landesman, president of the hedge fund Platinum Partners. "Nobody is insulated from the European Union."

    The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) ended the day down 199 points, or 1.6%. The S&P 500 (SPX) closed with a 27 point drop, or 2.1%. The Nasdaq (COMP) slid 53 points, or 2%. The S&P and Nasdaq dropped back into negative territory for the year.

    Financial stocks cratered too. Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500), Citigroup (C, Fortune 500), Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500), Morgan Stanley (MS, Fortune 500) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500) were all down between 3% and 9%.

    "European Union troubles disproportionately affect financials," said Sal Catrini, equity product manager at Cantor Fitzgerald. "Banks have led this rally since Thanksgiving, so it's no surprise that when the market pulls back, they pull back further."

    News reports ahead of the market close made U.S. investors that much more fearful going into tomorrow's trading day.

    The declines once again reinforce the belief among investors that what happens in Europe can overshadow even continuing positive economic news out of the US or other economies. Investors ignored another round of positive US job numbers released Thursday morning.

    Investors also shrugged off news that the European Central Bank cut its key interest rate by a quarter-percentage point Thursday morning, to 1%. The central bank was widely expected to cut its rates by up to 0.5%, as the risk of a broad recession in Europe continues to rise.

    "The ECB took positive steps today," said Landesman. "Then this genius comes out and puts a damper on the whole thing. Why bother?"

    Europe's mission 'hardly' accomplished

    Draghi dashed hopes -- at least in the near-term -- that the ECB would be likely to extend its reach to buy bonds of troubled European nations including Spain, Italy, and Portugal.

    U.S. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner is in Europe all week to meet with top government officials, highlighting the growing concern in Washington about the eurozone debt crisis.

    U.S. stocks ended mostly higher Wednesday, as investors bet that European leaders will produce a meaningful solution to the debt crisis. But trading has been choppy this week, turning mainly on rumors about what the politicians may or may not announce after the summit.

    Economy: The U.S. government reported Thursday that the number of people filing for initial unemployment benefits fell to a 9-month low of 381,000 in the latest week.

    The news initially boosted markets ahead of the open, as jobless claims for the week ending December 3 were expected to hit 395,000, according to a survey of analysts by Briefing.com.

    European banks get a reality check

    Wholesale inventories for the month of October came in higher-than-expected at 1.6%. Economists had predicted an 0.2% increase, after contracting by 0.1% the month prior.

    World markets: European stocks closed lower. Britain's FTSE 100 (UKX) fell 1.1%, the DAX (DAX) in Germany lost 2.0% and France's CAC 40 (CAC40) moved down 2.5%.

    Asian markets ended lower. The Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) fell 0.1%, the Hang Seng (HSI) in Hong Kong dropped 0.7% and Japan's Nikkei (N225) fell 0.7%

    Companies: Shares of Ford (F, Fortune 500) declined after the automaker announced a surprise quarterly dividend of 5 cents a share.

    After weeks of speculation about how more than a billion dollars in customer money went missing at MF Global, former CEO Jon Corzine gave his side of the story on Capitol Hill Thursday.

    "I simply do not know where the money is, or why the accounts have not been reconciled to date," Corzine said in a prepared statement to Congress. "I sincerely apologize, both personally and on behalf of the company, to our customers, our employees and our investors, who are bearing the brunt of the impact of the firm's bankruptcy."

    Shares of discount retailer Costco (COST, Fortune 500) dropped after the company released quarterly results before the opening bell Thursday that missed analysts' expectations. The company reported earnings of 73 cents a share. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expected earnings of 80 cents a share.

    Meat producer Smithfield Foods (SFD, Fortune 500) shares fell despite beating analysts' expectations, posting earnings of 76 cents a share.

    Currencies and commodities: The dollar gained strength against the euro, the British pound and Japanese yen.

    Oil for December delivery fell $2.48 to $98.01 a barrel.

    Gold futures for February delivery dropped $31.80 to $1,713.00 an ounce.

    Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury was little changed, with the yield falling below 2%. 

    The Outlook for Oil ETFs

    Uh-oh. While the decline in oil prices to $70 a barrel has been good for drivers, if prices head any lower, it may attract the attention of OPEC. On the other hand, if OPEC tightens supplies, it could attract the attention of ETF investors.

    Analysts say that if oil hits $65 or less, OPEC says it will attract their attention. That’s not the lowest price OPEC would be comfortable with, but it’s a price at which they would begin to watch closely, report Fiona MacDonald and Anthony DiPaola for Bloomberg. For today, at least, oil prices are holding their own and are up 3% so far on a positive durable goods orders report.

    But what of the future?

    “Peak oil” refers to the point at which more than half of the world’s oil reserves are tapped. Once we hit it, global oil extraction will begin to enter a terminal decline. However, investors who focus on how much crude oil is left may be missing the point.

    Money Markets for Daily Markets explains that it means the peak of production-the industry’s ability to get it out of the ground and to market, not the depletion of it. Rather, exploitation of unconventional oil will provide additional liquids, but likely at ever-higher costs.

    The IEA recently raised its forecast for world oil demand by 1.67 million barrels to 86.6 million barrels per day in 2010. As oil production is and extraction is waning, the demand for oil may skyrocket in the coming years. Are investors ready for that?

    • United States 12 Month Oil (USL)

    • United States Oil (USO)

    • iShares Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas Ex Index (IEO)


    Tisha Guerrero contributed to this article.

    Disclosure: None

    Top Stocks For 4/19/2012-2

    CDI Corp. (NYSE:CDI) will report its 2010 fourth quarter and full-year results on Tuesday, February 22, 2011, prior to the opening of the market. Following the release, management will hold a conference call at 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time to discuss the company’s results. The call can be accessed live, via the Internet, at www.cdicorp.com. A replay will be available for 14 days. Headquartered in Philadelphia, CDI Corp. is a leading provider of engineering and information technology outsourcing solutions and professional staffing. A substantial body of research shows that there are serious health and financial reactions associated with being uninsured. Moreover, research shows that leaving a large share of the population without health insurance affects not only those who are uninsured, but also the health and economic satisfaction of the nation. Yet, in spite of these findings, the number of Americans without insurance continues to grow. Although the national discussion over confirming health coverage for more Americans periodically gains force, it then stalls�perhaps in part because not enough is known about both the benefits and the costs of amplifying coverage to more, if not all, of the uninsured. The expense of health insurance you will pay depends on your age, the circumstances of your health (how healthy or sick you are), what part of the country you live in, how much money you bring in, and your job. The demand for affordable healthcare alternatives has never been greater. NATIONAL HEALTH PARTNERS, INC. (NHPR.OB) a national healthcare membership organization, creates, markets, and sells membership programs to underserved markets in the healthcare industry in the United States. Its programs provide an alternative to individuals who seek to reduce their healthcare costs not covered by insurance, or who are unable to obtain healthcare insurance due to their medical history, age, or occupation. The company, through its CARExpress membership programs, offers CARExpress health discount programs and CARExpress Plus membership programs. National Health Partners’ CARExpress health discount programs cover various aspects of healthcare, including physicians, hospitals, ancillary services, dentists, prescription drugs, vision care, hearing aids, chiropractic services, alternative care, 24-hour nurseline, medical supplies, and equipment, as well as long-term care facilities, which include skilled nursing facilities, assisted living facilities, respite care, and home health care. These programs include comprehensive care, supplemental care, preferred, dental and vision care, prescription and vision care, and tiered pharmacy discount programs. Its CARExpress Plus membership programs offer CARExpress Plus Platinum, CARExpress Plus Gold, and CARExpress Plus Silver programs that provide members point of service discount on their healthcare expenses at the time of service. Crown Equity Holdings Inc. (OTCBB:CRWE) announced that its subsidiary company, Crown Tele Services Inc. (http://www.crownteleservices.com) is still moving forward after dissolving its joint venture with Communication Expert Corporation and will gradually start rolling out its internet based voice and video service IP-PBX solutions this year. Hosted IP-PBX gives businesses of all sizes the most productive phone system calling features traditionally available to only the largest enterprises. No in-house systems or software to buy, manage and maintain is require for the phone system to work. The cornerstone of Crown Tele Services Inc. strategy is to meet the highest standards when it comes to delivering VoIP (Voice over Internet Protocol) communication solutions specifically designed to meet the market needs. VoIP industry is fast augmenting and hence it assures a definite hike in the revenue generation to any organisation that steps into this field. According to ABI Research, the latest global business VoIP services forecasts show that the value of the overall market, which includes VoIP integrated access, SIP trunking, hosted IP-PBX/IP Centrex and managed IP-PBX services, is set to double over the next five years, to exceed $20 billion by 2015. Crown Equity Holdings Inc., together with its digital network, currently provides electronic media services specializing in online publishing and Web sites, which bring together targeted audiences and advertisers that want to reach them. Crown Equity Holdings Inc. offers internet media-driven advertising services, which covers and connects a range of marketing specialties, as well as search engine optimization for clients interested in online media awareness. FLY Leasing Limited (NYSE:FLY) a global lessor of modern commercial jet aircraft, announced that it will release its fourth quarter and full year 2010 earnings results before the market opens on Wednesday, March 2, 2011. FLY’s senior management will host a conference call and webcast to discuss these results at 9:00 a.m. U.S. Eastern Time on Wednesday, March 2, 2011. A live webcast of the conference call will be available in the investor section of FLY’s website at www.flyleasing.com. FLY Leasing Limited operates as a global aircraft lesser. The company acquires and leases modern commercial jet aircraft under long-term contracts to a diverse group of airlines throughout the world. Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. (Farmer Mac) (NYSE:AGM) announced that it purchased a $500 million 5-year agricultural mortgage-backed funding agreement issued by Metropolitan Life Insurance Company (”MetLife”). The transaction is part of Farmer Mac’s “AgVantage�” program, in which Farmer Mac purchases general obligations of rural lenders that, in turn, are secured by Farmer Mac eligible loans. This transaction coincided with the maturity of a series of AgVantage� securities issued in 2006 that had been secured by a MetLife issued funding agreement and guaranteed by Farmer Mac, but held by third-party investors. Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation provides agricultural real estate and rural housing mortgage loans in the secondary market in the United States.